Wednesday 11 April 2012

Indian foreign policy towards South Asia: As a regional big power




Contents
Abstract:
1. Introduction:
2) Aims and objectives of Indian foreign policy:
A) Conventional Security
B) Economic Growth
C) Energy security
D) Nuclear Capability and Nonproliferation
E) prestige Security

3) What factors indicates India as a regional big power: India as a Rising Power:
4) The policy which is followed India to maintain its dominance in South Asian countries which are given below:  
Pakistan:
Nepal:
Bangladesh:
Sri Lanka:
Bhutan:
Afghanistan:
Maldives:
Conclusion:
Reference:




Indian foreign policy towards South Asia: As a regional big power

Abstract:
India’s foreign policies in recent years have made commendable progress in terms of relations with major world powers. Relations with the United States are moving towards more strategic cooperation to secure India’s national security interests. China despite its traditional rhetoric has seen the wisdom of greater economic cooperation with India and departing from its hostility following the 1998 nuclear tests by India. European Union Countries and Russia have modulated their policies towards India to exploit the vast defiance purchase market and economic opportunities that India presents. 
However, despite all of the above India’s foreign policies in South Asia need a drastic review. If there is a growing recognition worldwide that India is a power to reckon with in South Asia and an emerging key player in global affairs, then India, at the first instance needs to reinforce and press home this reality in the South Asian neighborhood
Introduction:
Since 1947, after the independence from British, India had given attention to national development in line with the existence of India as an independent and sovereign country. Now, India can no longer be considered as an insignificant country in the international system, on the other hand, India is now a country that would become one of the world's big powers. India’s rapid development in the field of economy, politics and security had an important effect to India’s power in the South Asian region. [1]India’s rise and dominant role in the geopolitics of the South Asian region has placed India as the region’s superpower.
2) Aims and objectives of Indian foreign policy:
The guiding principles of India's Foreign Policy have been founded on Panchsheel, pragmatism and pursuit of national interest. In a period of rapid and continuing change, foreign policy must be capable of responding optimally to new challenges and opportunities. It has to be an integral part of the larger effort of building the nation's capabilities through economic development, strengthening social fabric and well-being of the people and protecting India's sovereignty and territorial integrity. India's foreign policy is a forward-looking engagement with the rest of the world, based on a rigorous, realistic and contemporary assessment of the bilateral, regional and global geo-political and economic milieu.

1. Conventional Security
As is necessary for any nation, India’s principal priority is ensuring conventional security for its country and its people.  In recent years, India has built up a strong and capable Army, Navy and Air Force: the third, forth and seventh largest in the world respectively.  India’s military is not only large, but effective, well trained and increasingly well equipped; their Air Force has been known to best that of the United States in combat air exercises.
2. Economic Growth:
India’s second principal foreign policy goal is economic growth.  From its birth to 1980 India was known for its “Hindu” rate of GDP growth of approximately 3.5% per year.  Following the 1991 economic reforms led by the then-Finance Minister Manmohan Singh, growth tripled, reaching 8% in 2004.  The government is forecasting up to 10% growth, second only to that of China, for the coming decade.
3. Energy Security:
In order to sustain economic growth at around 10%, India must ensure energy security, its third major area of focus.  India currently imports 70% of its oil and 50% of its gas; by 2025 it is projected that India will import 80% of its energy needs.
4. Nuclear Capability and Nonproliferation:
As mentioned earlier, India has two nuclear weapons powers on its borders – China and Pakistan – and one would-be nuclear weapons power in its immediate locale – Iran.  Its relations with these first two powers are unstable; India has fought wars with both in recent decades and tensions rise and fall over border disagreements.  In this context, India continues to attend to its own nuclear resources, and is very sensitive to intimation of control by any other power. [2]
5. Prestige Security:
The final priority of New Delhi’s government is for India to take its “rightful” place on the global stage.  In so doing they recognize the importance of building their strategic stature and leadership.  With 1.1 billion people, India has the second largest population in the world, and one of the youngest with over 50% under the age of 25.  Their economy, by purchasing power parity, is 4th in the world after the U.S., China and Japan.
3) What factors indicates India as a regional big power: India as a Rising Power: India has a number of power capabilities that are necessary ingredients for claiming a rising power status. Elsewhere, Baldev Raj Nayar and I (2003) have argued that India is perhaps the leading contender for major power status from the developing world in the 21st century due to its comprehensive national capabilities, defined in both hard and soft power resources. The hard power resources include: extant military capabilities, economic resources, and technological and demographic assets. The soft power assets include: leadership in international institutions; cultural appeal, democracy, secularism, and a federal polity. Moreover, India is geographically situated at a major strategic location with the Indian Ocean being the crucial waters for the world’s oil transportation. [3]In addition, among most of the emerging powers, India has shown the highest inclination, in terms of its elite and public positioning, and in terms of its invocation of its grand civilization history, for the position of major power. More concretely, what are the sources of India’s aspirations in this regard?
4) The policy which is followed India to maintain its dominance in South Asian countries which are given below:
Pakistan:
 Pakistan has emerged as a “rogue nuclear state” however much the United States may like to paint it white. It has proliferated uranium enrichment technology to North Korea and Iran too (estimative analysis) and thereby jeopardizing vital United States strategic interests in East Asia and the Middle East.
In relation to bringing Pakistan to heel in South Asia, India’s foreign policies concerning Pakistan must incorporate the following ingredients:
* Pakistan’s proxy war against India needs to be carried back into Pakistan. Self-determination movements in Sindh, Baluchistan, Pashtunistan and Northern Areas need to be exploited. India’s oft-quoted ‘pro-active policies’ must be put into effect here.
* Pakistan based terrorist organizations must be struck the way the Israel strikes back at its opponents.[4]
* India’s foreign policies and military policies lack the essential ingredient of “Psychological Warfare” and allied operations.
* Pakistan Army’s stranglehold over the Pakistani nation-state and thwarting the emergence of democracy and pluralism in Pakistan needs to be vigorously exposed as part of the above operation.
* India must impose an arms-race on Pakistan the pace of which Pakistan can ill-afford economically and nor can its external patrons subsidies.
* In relation to Pakistan, India must make it clear to the other South Asian countries that they have to choose between India and Pakistan in South Asia. “Either you are with us, or against us” and if their choice is “against us” they should be prepared to face the consequences of their choice. 
India’s conditions for resumption of dialogue with Pakistan need to rest on far more important considerations, namely that:
* India will enter into dialogue with Pakistan only when a democratically elected government comes into power, through elections supervised by international observers.
* India will not enter into dialogue with Pakistan based on Pakistani imposed pre-conditions of Kashmir and the rest.[5]
* India should maintain that Kashmir  is not an issue historically nor is  it now. Kashmir’s accession to India is non-negotiable as per the unanimous resolution of the Special Session of the Indian Parliament.
* India will enter into a dialogue with Pakistan  only when it begins to respect the sanctity  of the  Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Jammu and Kashmir- a  point endorsed by the United States through President Clinton’s statement. 
Nepal:
Nepal has been wracked by a Maoist insurgency for the last five or six years. India has remained a passive bystander witnessing the growing erosion of Nepal’s state power. Other than giving some military materiel for counter insurgency operations, no weighty measures have been taken. 
India has not recognized the gravity of a Maoist take-over of Nepal as American analysts have done in depth. As per American analysts, the strategic implications of a Maoist take-over of Nepal are:
* Nepal becomes a total client state of China. A Maoist Nepal under Chinese tutelage would be a serious disruptive factor for US global strategies in the region.
* Maoist-insurgents ruled Nepal would inextricably get dragged into Islamic terrorist organizations linkages, besides China’s policies towards the Islamic world.[6] 
India needs to realize the gravity of the strategic implications, specific to India, namely:
* A China-aligned Nepal, removes an important buffer state between India and China. India would have to militarily man the India-Nepal border in strength, which may eat up two to three infantry divisions.
* A China-aligned Nepal adds to the existing China-client states in South Asia i.e. Pakistan and Bangladesh. It would be a very unholy trinity with not only the Western and Eastern flanks of India under China’s influence, but the Northern flank too added.
* For the majority peoples of India, the only Hindu kingdom in the world would slide down ignobly into a Chinese-Islamic coalition in South Asia. [7]
India must therefore, immediately, cast away its existing reluctance and inhibitions to act firmly, even militarily, to prevent a Maoist take-over of Nepal. Fortunately in Nepal’s current Maoist-threatened environment, convergence of security interests exist between the United States and India. India must therefore jointly work with the United States to protect the sovereignty of the Nepalese state against a Maoist takeover. 
It was so stated by US Assistant Secretary of State, Christiana Rocca during her recent visit to New Delhi: “Working in tandem, our governments can help Nepal defeat the Maoists threat and re-establish democratic institutions responsive to the needs of the people". 
India must therefore act forcefully and unapologetically in Nepal forthwith to secure her national interests. It would be a convincing demonstration of what this paper espouses: “India will intervene forcefully to secure her national interests in the region”.  [8]

Bangladesh:
For far too long has India been oblivious to the playing of the ‘Indian-Card’ (for or against) in Bangladesh’s domestic politics. For far too long has India tolerated the use of Bangladesh as a springboard for Pakistan’s strategic de-destabilization of India’s North-Eastern states. India could borrow a leaf from Myanmar's dealing with the  Rohinggya problem emanating from Saudi based organizations in Bangladesh. Al Qaeda’s tentacles exist in Bangladesh. [9]
Bangladesh too is a fit case where Indian foreign policy objectives could gain a convergence with United States national interests. The China-Bangladesh Defense Cooperation Agreement adds an additional dimension to the other threats as analyzed in an earlier Paper of this author. 
India needs to draw red-lines in terms of India’s national interests which Bangladesh must not overstep with impunity. In tandem, India through its big business houses should integrate Bangladesh into more commercial linkages. Increased Indian economic investments in Bangladesh could generate thousands of job and remove the root cause of Bangladesh’s instability and move towards Islamic fundamentalism.[10] 

Sri Lanka:
India’s national interests demand maintaining the unity and sovereignty of the Sri Lanka nation state. India’s domestic Tamil politics should not become the touch stone of India’s policies towards Sri Lanka. India needs to react forcefully to ensure that Sri Lanka remains a unified state with a set up that would meet the just aspirations of a majority of Tamils.
The above proposition entails once again the forging of mutual national interest’s convergence of India and the United States Sri Lanka is an important component of United States India Ocean strategy and it is felt that United States-India convergences exist already. Joint USA-India strategies and foreign policies towards Sri Lanka would be helpful in counter-acting Chinese and Pakistani overtures to wean away Sri Lanka from India’s influence. [11]
Bhutan:
Where India Historically, ties with India have been close. Both countries signed a Friendship treaty in 1949, would assist Bhutan in foreign relations. On February 8, 2007, the Indo-Bhutan Friendship Treaty was substantially revised under the Bhutanese King, Jigme Khesar Namgyel Wang chuck. Whereas in the Treaty of 1949 Article 2 read as "The Government of India undertakes to exercise no interference in the internal administration of Bhutan. On its part the Government of Bhutan agrees to be guided by the advice of the Government of India in regard to its external relations."[12]
Afghanistan:
India maintained her traditional policy of friendship and cooperation with Afghanistan, with the Government of Professor Rabbani, whom it continued to support as the legitimate Government of Afghanistan. However, the situation in Afghanistan remained unstable. The situation was further exacerbated by the interference of Pakistan directly and more so through its creation, the Taliban. With the takeover of Kabul by the Taliban militia on 27 September 1996 a new dimension was added to the unstable condition in Afghanistan. The Taliban continue the pursuit of obscurantist doctrine and the consequent denial of human rights, especially the rights of women. India has always supported the unity, independence, territorial integrity and sovereignty of Afghanistan.[13] India called for the cessation of foreign interference in Afghanistan and for peaceful discussions and negotiations between Afghan parties. India also supported the efforts of the UN Secretary General and his Special Representative in bringing peace to Afghanistan. India has been in the formal international peace processes on Afghanistan.
Maldives:
India continues to maintain very close and friendly relations with Maldives, which is an important maritime neighbor. A regular and cordial interaction was kept up during 1996-97. The Maldives, Institute of Technical Education, a Government of India funded project, was successfully completed and the complex was handed over to the Government of Maldives on 16 September 1996.


Conclusion: In pursuing its regional objectives i.e. its grand strategy, strategy and tactics at a regional India has demonstrated less logic and flexibility in dealing with her neighboring countries. Only India can contribute to a politico- strategic process in South Asia, help remove the evident misunderstanding among the people of the region, build up a structure of cooperative relationship based on mutual trust, and finally, infuse an element of spontaneity of service and sacrifice essential for developing a common South Asia destiny.      




















[1]Pranab Kumar pandey, “Political culture in Bangladesh: Does leadership matters”Journal of social change,Vol.34, No.4,2004,PP.24-37.
[2] .M.Nazrul Islam, “Consolidating Asian democracy,”(Dhaka: Nipun printing industries Ltd.2007), PP.39-47.

[3] http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/china/2005/china-050405-irna01.htm. Available on12July, 2010

[4] Pranab Kumar pandey,op.cit.pp.34-37
[5]Ali .T.Sheikh, “South Asian Regional Cooperation for peace and stability”in Abdul Hafiz and Iftekharuzzaman (eds), South Asian regional Cooperation : A Socio-Economic Approach to peace and Stability(Dhaka: BLLSS-1985),P-225   

[6]Ali .T.Sheikh,Ibid.pp.227-230
[8] .M.Nazrul Islam.Op.cit.pp.50-51
[9] Pranab Kumar pandey,op.cit.pp.40-41
[10] .M.Nazrul Islam.Op.cit.pp.53-54
[11]  http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/china/2005/china-050405-irna01.htm. Available on12July, 2010
[12]Pranab Kumar pandey.op.cit.55-56
[13]Pranab Kumar pandey.ibid.pp60-61